I tested McMillan's chart with my real PRs from way back when. Very accurate. How accurate will it be now, as I am not training with the same intensity? Only time will tell, but it serves as a guide for both current and potential times. My 22:42 applied to a 4 M run indicates a 29:41 is possible. The distance is close enough to presume my training is correct; it isn't going from 100 meters to a marathon.
The formula cannot know race day conditions, or my fitness. On July 4, I will be fitter, but the course will be more challenging than on June 7. If the formula can show me anything for July 4, I can be pretty sure sub-28:00 for 4 M will not happen. A good race from me can turn out a 28:30, though. Maybe I will shoot for that (equivalent to a 21:47 5K).
| Event | 100m | 200m | 400m | 500m | 800m | 1000m | 1500m |
| Time | 17 | 34 | 01:11.1 | 01:32.7 | 02:36.1 | 03:24.0 | 05:21.4 |
| Event | Mile | 2000m | 3000m | 2M | 4000m | 3M | 5000m |
| Time | 05:46.1 | 07:18.8 | 11:27.6 | 12:18.6 | 15:39.4 | 19:16 | 19:59 |
| Event | 4M | 8000m | 5M | 10K | 15K | 10M | 20K |
| Time | 26:08:00 | 32:56:00 | 33:07:00 | 41:31:00 | 1:04:20 | 1:09:33 | 1:27:32 |
| Event | 13.1M | 15M | 25K | 30K | 20M | 25M | Marathon |
| Time | 1:32:22 | 1:46:32 | 1:51:12 | 2:15:15 | 2:26:16 | 3:04:23 | 3:14:49 |
2 comments:
Seems like your a pretty good runner. I once tried cross country but I was never competitive in it so I didnt continue running. I only wonder if I would of continued if I would of ever been good at the sport.
These days, DM, I am a plugger. That chart indicates what I hope I can run, not a time I have run recently.
Great post on your blog: very touching. You are a good writer, and the video - wow!
http://sportsfanatics123.blogspot.com/2008/06/thanks-dad.html
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